I say YES. YOU say NO....Numero Tre! Enjoy!
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A friend is one to whom we may pour out the contents of our hearts, chaff and grain together, knowing that the gentlest of hands will sift it, keep what is worth keeping, and with a breath of kindness blow the rest away. -Arabian saying
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(((((Sandy)))))
I think it is easy these days to feel scared with so much concern. I am still on the kick that fear sells and there are many people who like to sell it. Yes, even some democrats. One day the polls says good things and the next day it is refuted some way. Of course we have a world to worry about, but I also think ( degrees ) that the heat is on because THIS time there is as much chance for Trump to lose. I don't know, and no one really does what the outcome will be. If there is more of us than them. I think ( at least from what I've read ) that we need to keep our focus and not fall heir to gloom. Can't be a Pollyanna either. It is I think sticking to what really works -- finding voters to register, and keeping the pressure up on those who spread lies ( Facebook, Twitter, Trump ) and encouraging people to REALLY access facts -- not fiction.
We don't know -- but I try daily to keep some hope alive that we have been a Democratic nation for a really long time and won't lose that over one four yr. segment that has been so difficult. We have lost much, but I hope our willing fighting spirit will recover. Does anyone REALLY want to live in chaos forever. I will survive.
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Sorry but I agree with Sandy on this one. If DT wins the election, I will find it difficult to be hopeful for the next 4 years. While I do not have difficulty wearing a mask, I do hate the impact Covid 19 has had upon my lifestyle. I retired the end of 2019, so I could travel more while I am still able bodied. I did get to go to Egypt (bucket list) in January and had a short trip to the Peloponnesis in Greece in March right before shutdown. The month long trip we had planned to Norway and Europe for July was summarily cancelled, we lost travel insurance big time because they will only apply it to future trips and I do not see that happening with the state of our response to Covid 19. Plus we are really not welcome in any country right now. I can't see my grandchildren other than at a distance, no family gatherings for holidays and phone calls only go so far in maintaining contact. My social life is restricted to doctor's appointments, outpatient procedures, grocery store forages and that just plain sucks.
So if he wins and we can anticipate 4 more years of this restricted life, having to constantly be on guard for those fools who don't feel Covid 19 is valid, is this survival? This is not the way I want to spend my last years on earth. I have been able, thus far, to find daily pleasures but not sure how sustainable this is. One positive about not being able to travel, I do not have to apologize or explain to those in another country how we have such an asshole governing us. He is an embarrassment not of my making.
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The POS is not going to win. You can take that to the bank.
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My references ( apparently too broad ) were mainly for right now and this up-coming election. That said though -- thinking of the possibility of four more yrs. of this is more dismal than I can even imagine. I do think given time there MAY be vaccines and therapeutics ( that actually will work ) to ease some of the strain and pain of life as we know it right now. I just am not willing to lose heart right now. Too soon. I know it is possible that Trump could cheat enough to squeak his way in --- but I also think we are so in tune to the upset from 2016 that it is easy for the mind to have issue with feeling confidence about where we are.
I do know that basically ( although a slow start pushed so greatly by Jim Clyburn/South Carolina I think rather than North?? ) Biden has held his place over Trump for all this time -- some waxing and wane, but he has always come out higher than Trump -- and that Trump ( listening to news ) is always losing people. Some of the enlisted military now along with a number of high profile Reps. Women and the suburbs. It is easy with all day and night news to get sold what sells which at times could be more accurate than it is. I do think this is often why Trump seems to have the sound of things being so good for him. I don't think they are and they haven't been for some time. This has always been my quandary. Mostly for me it comes down to how much cheating and dirty tricks Trump and co., can get away with. Obviously that is scary since there is a lot of enabled help in that direction along with Barr who I wish deep and everlasting crouch itch on him for sure. Of course I'm nervous -- just like I was last time in 2016. I'm always nervous. But I'm not giving up or in....that is just not me.
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This is assuming that Trump ever was or wanted to be:
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Fromm one of the boat parades -- hmmm. The owner of this boat may have just identified himself.
This one went on Facebook as well.
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So articulate - oh so NOT. If he could actually hear what he was saying he might sip talking. Actually would be a good thing for him. I placed this on facebook and made mention of what was the saying about opening your mouth and removing all doubt.
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Illinois Lady - the final statement by Trump rings true - but not about protesting...
"And it's got to stop"
My response
November 3rd...
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This couple won't vote for Trump ( they did last election), but also say they aren’t necessarily voting for Biden. Not sure they understand how a non vote for either candidate is a vote for Trump. Maybe there are other EC's who can add 2 and 2 and figure out last election's huge evangelical endorsement of Trump was made by now disgraced Falwell Jr who is not someone who should be listened to.
We are evangelical Christians not voting for Donald Trump this time
BY RYAN HURLBURT AND KATHARINE HURLBURT, OPINION CONTRIBUTORS — 08/31/20
It is no secret that most white evangelical Christians in the country voted for Donald Trump in 2016. But one recent survey finds that, if the election were tomorrow, his margin of victory with white evangelical voters would be just 38 points, dramatically down from his advantage of 61 points over Hillary Clinton. Evangelical voters are having second thoughts.
We are a white evangelical married couple living in Georgia. We have both worked on evangelical missions across various cultural contexts, and are absolutely committed to upholding the dignity and value of all human life, including those who are not yet born. But having witnessed the negative effects that the administration has had on vulnerable people, particularly refugees and other immigrants, we are among the significant number of evangelical Christians who will not vote for the president again.
Our critical values have not changed since 2016. We were uncomfortable back then with the credible reports of his marital infidelities, his bullying tone, and disparaging comments on immigrants. But we also were, and certainly still are, deeply committed to protecting the lives of children in the womb and the freedom to practice our faith without interference. We felt that we had chosen the lesser of two evils when we voted.
While the president has delivered on some issues of concern to us, such as economic reforms and trade deals, his immigration policies are cruel, undermining his pledges to life and religious freedom. For instance, while we cherish unborn lives, we also value the lives of thousands of children who were separated from their mothers or fathers by the "zero tolerance" policies of the administration at the Mexican border in 2018.
Our commitment to life also compels us to do everything that we can to end human trafficking. The administration has decided to suspend the life saving elements of the Trafficking Victims Protection Reauthorization Act, the passage of which evangelical Christians proudly championed under George Bush and the flouting of which evangelical ministries like World Vision and International Justice Mission have decried.
Our convictions on life also are why we strongly believe the United States should continue to be, in the famous words of George Washington, "a safe and agreeable asylum to the virtuous and persecuted part of mankind, to whatever nation they might belong." Rather than continue the life saving tradition of asylum and resettlement of refugees, the administration has shut out persecuted refugees with its immigration policies.
Denying asylum to those fleeing persecution is not a commitment to life. Since many are fleeing persecution on account of their faith, it undercuts the pledge of the president on religious freedom. As the alarming findings from evangelical ministries Open Doors and World Relief note, the number of refugees from countries where Christians face the most persecution is on track for a decline of 90 percent this year versus 2016.
This is not what the president promised to evangelical voters. During his first week in office, he criticized the previous administration for admitting too few Syrian refugees and promised to assist them. But then, just hours after he made that pledge, he signed an oexecutive order that dramatically restricted the number of refugees to enter the United States, including an indefinite ban on all Syrian refugees. Indeed, fewer Syrian Christians have been resettled in the almost four years of the current administration than in the last year that Barack Obama was in office alone.
With these harsh policies, the president has lost our votes. That does not necessarily mean we will vote for Joe Biden, but our consciences will not allow us to vote for Trump again. We believe he could change his mind. He could set the refugee ceiling at the historical normal of 95,000. He could restore the asylum program. He could also work with Congress to pass the immigration reformsbased on restitution, advocated by a broad range of evangelical Christians, that would create a new legal pathway to eventual citizenship, which Bush and Obama tried but failed to do.
We know it might take a miracle for the president to reverse course on his immigration policies at this point. But unless he does so, he will forfeit our votes and, as the polls suggest, many others as well.
Ryan Hurlburt and Katharine Hurlburt are voters who are based in Georgia.
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Sandy, thinking of you. Do you have a treatment plan in place? I am reading a wonderful book about Abraham Lincoln and the mess the country he inherited when he became president. If Trump and friends are booted out in November, with a lot of work, we will be okay. If not, we are screwed (although I have my doubts about Trump being healthy enough to serve out another four year). Once he is gone, I think the spell will be broken.
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And, for a little comic relief:
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Ruth---love it! Thanks!
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Ruth, my treatment plan is plaque brachytherapy (surgical insertion of a gold disk with I-125 seeds--sutured to the bottom of the eye, aimed at the tumor, and removal 4 days later). The latter procedure was 2 weeks ago. Next phase is gradual weaning off antibiotic & steroid eye drops (1st week was QID plus atropine drops, last week BID--stopping the atropine so that my pupil could begin to constrict as it should, this week just the steroid drops BID and next week once a day), plus using artificial tears. Gonna take quite some time to heal, because the plaque was near the inner-eye tear ducts. Very slight double vision, but not enough to keep me from driving (but only when necessary). I see a lot better than I look (though I do find it easier to read with just my L eye open). The rest of the treatment? Essentially watchful waiting, with dilated eye exams & imaging every 3 months. And CT scans & bloodwork every 3-6 months to monitor whether there are mets. (50% of OM patients do get mets by 10-15 years out, but even then it can be managed for quite some time).
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House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Richard Neal comfortably defeated his liberal primary challenger, Alex Morse, in Massachusetts on Tuesday.
Neal, the House's top tax-writer, came under fire from progressives, who saw him as too close to industry and slow to pursue President Donald Trump's tax returns. Morse, the 31-year-old mayor of Holyoke, Mass., was endorsed by Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and other top liberal figures and groups.
Read more here.
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hugs ((((Sandy)))). In your pocket.
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Thinking of you, Sandy, and wishing you the best! Here's a hug from Pantaloon and I -- ((((((((Sandy))))))))
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From Axios......
A top Democratic data and analytics firm told "Axios on HBO" it's highly likely that President Trump will appear to have won — potentially in a landslide — on election night, even if he ultimately loses when all the votes are counted.
Why this matters: Way more Democrats will vote by mail than Republicans, due to fears of the coronavirus, and it will take days if not weeks to tally these. This means Trump, thanks to Republicans doing almost all of their voting in person, could hold big electoral college and popular vote leads on election night.
- Imagine America, with its polarization and misinformation, if the vote tally swings wildly toward Joe Biden and Trump loses days later as the mail ballots are counted.
- That is what this group, Hawkfish, which is funded by Michael Bloomberg and also does work for the Democratic National Committee and pro-Biden Super PACs, is warning is a very real, if not foreordained, outcome.
What they're saying: Hawkfish CEO Josh Mendelsohn calls the scenario a "red mirage."
- "We are sounding an alarm and saying that this is a very real possibility, that the data is going to show on election night an incredible victory for Donald Trump," he said.
- "When every legitimate vote is tallied and we get to that final day, which will be some day after Election Day, it will in fact show that what happened on election night was exactly that, a mirage," Mendelsohn said. "It looked like Donald Trump was in the lead and he fundamentally was not when every ballot gets counted."
Data: Hawkfish; Graphic: Axios VisualsBy the numbers: Under one of the group's modeling scenarios, Trump could hold a projected lead of 408-130 electoral votes on election night, if only 15% of the vote by mail (VBM) ballots had been counted.
- Once 75% of mail ballots were counted, perhaps four days later, the lead could flip to Biden's favor.
- This particular modeling scenario portrays Biden as ultimately winning a massive victory, 334-204.
- The methodology, described in detail below, was based in part on polling from FiveThirtyEight in August.
- The ultimate results may well sit somewhere between these low-end and high-end scenarios and will also be impacted by who actually votes, and how voters' views about their options change over the coming weeks.
The other side: "The news media should get out of the business of predicting the future," Trump campaign communications director Tim Murtaugh said in response.
Between the lines: Hawkfish is not just trying to educate the public about the possibility that Trump could prematurely declare victory, or try to delegitimize a Biden victory if it took days or weeks to determine.
- The group is also trying to sensitize state and county elections officials, news and social media organizations, and the courts to the perils of premature results — and to the possibility of Trump and his team applying challenges and political pressure to reject a high share of mailed-in ballots counted after election day.
- And the group is warning voters that rejection rates for mail ballots are higher than in-person voting.
- To avoid having their votes thrown out, Hawkfish is advising voters to be extra careful about voting early enough and following all the instructions to the letter — or, potentially, putting on masks and gloves and going early either to safely vote in person or return the mail ballot in person.
Methodology: Hawkfish surveyed 17,263 registered voters in 50 states and DC, July 1-Aug. 16, 2020, to assess who people planned to vote for and whether they intend to vote by mail or in person at a polling place.
- Responses were filtered for those described as definitely voting or likely to vote and weighted for state and national registered voter demographics.
- The scenarios assumed votes at polls would be counted on election day itself (Nov. 3). A scenario taking a week to count mail ballots would translate to approximately 15% per day on average.
- In another scenario, mail ballot counts took four days at 25% per day. For states that have had high vote-by-mail participation rates, Hawkfish assumed they would take two days.
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